Wikipedia

2014 United States Senate election in Iowa

The 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Harkin did not run for reelection to a sixth term in office.[1]

2014 United States Senate election in Iowa
← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
 
Nominee Joni Ernst Bruce Braley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 588,575 494,370
Percentage 52.10% 43.76%
Ernst:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Braley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Tom Harkin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Joni Ernst
Republican

U.S. Representative Bruce Braley was unopposed for the Democratic nomination; the Republicans nominated State Senator Joni Ernst in a June 3 primary election.[2] Douglas Butzier, who was the Libertarian nominee, died on October 14 in a single engine plane crash near Key West, Iowa. He was the pilot and the only person aboard the plane.[3][4][5] He still appeared on the ballot, alongside Independents Bob Quast, Ruth Smith and Rick Stewart. Ernst defeated Braley in the general election. This was the first open Senate seat in Iowa since 1974. Ernst was the first Republican to win this seat since Roger Jepsen in 1978. Joni Ernst's inauguration marked the first time since 1985 where Republicans held both United States Senate seats from Iowa.

Democratic primary

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Bruce Braley ultimately faced no opposition in his primary campaign and became the Democratic nominee on June 3, 2014.[6]

Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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  • Bob Quast, businessman (running as an independent)[8]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Bruce Braley

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

State legislators

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Brad
Anderson 		Bruce
Braley 		Kevin
McCarthy 		Undecided
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2013 ? ? 3.83% 49.73% 3.83% 42.62%

Results

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Democratic primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bruce Braley 62,623 99.2%
Democratic Write-ins 504 0.8%
Total votes 63,127 100.0%

Republican primary

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The Republican primary was held on June 3, 2014. If no candidate won more than 35% of the vote, the nominee would have been chosen at a statewide convention. It would have been only the second time in 50 years that a convention picked a nominee and the first time since 2002, when then-State Senator Steve King won a convention held in Iowa's 5th congressional district to decide the Republican nominee for Congress. Having the nominee chosen by a convention led to fears that the increasingly powerful Ron Paul faction of the state party, led by Party Chairman A. J. Spiker, could have nominated an unelectable candidate.[22][23]

The convention was scheduled to be held on June 14 but was then moved to July 12. Republican leaders, including Governor Terry Branstad and U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, as well as four of the candidates for the nomination, criticized the move. Candidates Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Matthew Whitaker and David Young signed a letter to the Republican Party of Iowa asking them to move the convention date back, saying that "Essentially gifting [Bruce] Braley an additional 30 days to campaign in a vacuum, while reducing our nominee's time to raise funds and campaign as the general election candidate by an entire month – only serves to strengthen Braley's viability". Spiker responded that the move was necessary to accommodate the 27-day period that the Iowa Secretary of State's office requires to certify the results of the primary.[24] Spiker reiterated his position in September 2013, rejecting calls for a vote by the central committee to move the convention date. He said that nominating a candidate before the primary had been certified would break state law, "which outlines that a ballot vacancy does not exist until the canvass is completed and certified."[25]

Secretary of State Matt Schultz was highly critical of Spiker, saying that "no political party should use the excuse of the final date of the statewide canvass to determine the date of its special nominating convention. Furthermore, to state that it is necessary to hold a special nominating convention after the conclusion of the state canvass is not only misleading, it is false."[26] Following efforts by members of the central committee to call a special meeting to move the date back to June, Spiker agreed and a meeting was held on September 23.[27] The central committee voted 16–1 to move the convention date back to June 14.[28] Statewide Republican leaders and activists and members of the National Republican Senatorial Committee believe that the real reason for the attempt to delay the convention was to give the Ron Paul faction time to organize an insurgent effort to push through a candidate they support, which could have even been Spiker himself or State Party Co-chair David Fischer.[23] The infighting has been traced back to the failure of the NRSC and allies of Governor Branstad and Senator Grassley to recruit a "top-tier" candidate for the race.[23]

Ernst received widespread attention for a campaign ad she released in March 2014 where she employed a tongue-in-cheek comparison between her experience castrating pigs and her ability to cut "pork" in Congress.[29][30] Many found the ad to be humorous[31][32] and it was spoofed by late-night comedians including Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert,[33][34] while some found it to be in bad taste.[35][36] Before the ad aired, Ernst had struggled in fundraising,[37][38] and two polls of the Republican primary taken in February 2014 had shown her in second place, several points behind opponent Mark Jacobs.[39][40] After it aired, a Suffolk University poll in early April showed her with a narrow lead and a Loras College poll showed her essentially tied with Jacobs.[36][41][42][43] By May, she was being described by the media as the "strong front-runner".[44]

In May 2014, Roll Call reported that the Republican primary campaign had become a proxy for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio supporting Ernst, Rick Perry endorsing Whitaker and Rick Santorum backing Clovis.[45] Jacobs, who had no such high-profile endorsements, ran as the "outsider".[46]

Ultimately, Ernst won the primary with 56% of the vote, negating the need for a convention.

Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Sam Clovis

Individuals

Organizations

Joni Ernst

National figures

Statewide politicians

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Mark Jacobs

Individuals

Matthew Whitaker

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Clovis 		Joni
Ernst 		Mark
Jacobs 		Paul
Lunde 		Scott
Schaben 		Matthew
Whitaker 		Other Undecided
Hill Research Consultants*[114] February 12–13, 2014 300 ± 4% 6% 11% 22% — — 8% 3% 50%
Public Policy Polling[115] February 20–23, 2014 283 ± 5.8% 8% 13% 20% 3% 3% 11% — 42%
Suffolk University[116] April 3–8, 2014 224 ± 6.55% 6.7% 25% 22.77% — 1.34% 4.02% — 40.18%
Loras College[117] April 7–8, 2014 600 ± 4% 7.3% 18.1% 18.8% — 3.5% 4% — 48.2%
Harper Polling^[118] April 30 – May 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 14% 33% 23% — 1% 3% — 26%
Loras College[119] May 12–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 9.5% 30.8% 19.3% — 2.3% 7.3% — 30.7%
Public Policy Polling[120] May 15–19, 2014 303 ± ? 14% 34% 18% 2% 1% 6% — 26%
Des Moines Register[121] May 27–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 11% 36% 18% — 2% 13% — 16%
  • ^ Internal poll for Joni Ernst campaign
  • * Internal poll for Mark Jacobs campaign
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Sam
Clovis 		Joni
Ernst 		Mark
Jacobs 		Paul
Lunde 		Scott
Shaben 		Bob
Vander Plaats 		Matthew
Whitaker 		David
Young 		Undecided
The Polling Company[122] November 22–23, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 8% 8% 5% 1% 1% 28% 7% 4% 39%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Drew
Ivers 		Steve
King 		Tom
Latham 		Bill
Northey 		Kim
Reynolds 		Matt
Schultz 		Bob
Vander Plaats 		David
Vaudt 		Brad
Zaun 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 326 ± 5.4% — 41% 22% — 10% — 9% — — 17%
— 42% 23% — — — 19% — — 15%
— 50% 27% — — — — — — 23%
Wenzel Strategies[124] February 1–2, 2013 800 ± 3.44% — 34.3% 18.7% 3.2% 9.8% 1.4% 9.2% 0.5% — 19.5%
— 42.9% 34.7% — — — — — — 22.4%
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2012 4.52% 31.16% 26.13% — — — 16.08% — 6.03% 16.08%
— 35.35% 21.72% — — — 19.70% — 3.03% 20.20%
— 46% 29% — — — — — — 25%

Results

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Results by county:
  Ernst
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Clovis
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Jacobs
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[21]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joni Ernst 88,692 56.12%
Republican Sam Clovis 28,434 17.99%
Republican Mark Jacobs 26,582 16.82%
Republican Matthew Whitaker 11,909 7.54%
Republican Scott Schaben 2,270 1.44%
Republican Write-ins 144 0.09%
Total votes 158,031 100.00%

General election

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Endorsements

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Bruce Braley (D)

Federal politicians

Statewide politicians

Organizations

State legislators

Debates

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On August 29, Ernst and Braley announced their agreement to hold three televised debates in Davenport, Des Moines, and Sioux City, the first debate on September 28, the second on October 11, and the last on October 16.[126]

Fundraising

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Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Bruce Braley (D) $9,918,362 $10,069,945 $707,302
Joni Ernst (R) $9,206,690 $7,660,912 $2,244,366

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[127] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[128] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[129] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[130] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Joni
Ernst (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[131] November 1–3, 2014 1,265 ± 2.8% 45% 48% 2%[132] 5%
46% 49% — 5%
Quinnipiac University[133] October 28 – November 2, 2014 778 ± 3.5% 47% 47% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling[134] October 30–31, 2014 617 ± ? 47% 48% — 5%
Selzer & Co/Des

Moines Register[135]

October 28–31, 2014 701 ± 3.7% 44% 51% 1% 4%
YouGov[136] October 25–31, 2014 1,112 ± 4.4% 43% 42% 3% 13%
Fox News[137] October 28–30, 2014 911 ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[138] October 28–30, 2014 990 ± 3% 47% 48% 3% 3%
CNN/ORC[139] October 27–30, 2014 647 LV ± 4% 47% 49% — 4%
887 RV ± 3.5% 49% 43% — 7%
Reuters/Ipsos[140] October 23–29, 2014 1,129 ± 3.3% 45% 45% 4% 7%
Quinnipiac[141] October 22–27, 2014 817 ± 3.4% 45% 49% 2% 5%
Loras College[142] October 21–24, 2014 1,121 ± 2.93% 45% 44% 2% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[143] October 16–23, 2014 2,322 ± 3% 44% 44% 1% 11%
NBC News/Marist[144] October 18–22, 2014 772 LV ± 3.5% 46% 49% 1% 4%
1,052 RV ± 3% 46% 46% 2% 6%
Gravis Marketing[145] October 20–21, 2014 964 ± 3% 43% 49% — 8%
Monmouth University[146] October 18–21, 2014 423 ± 4.8% 46% 47% 5% 2%
Quinnipiac University[147] October 15–21, 2014 964 ± 3.2% 46% 48% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling[148] October 15–16, 2014 714 ± ?% 48% 47% — 5%
Suffolk University[149] October 11–14, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43% 47% 2%[150] 7%
Quinnipiac University[151] October 8–13, 2014 967 ± 3.2% 45% 47% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports[138] October 8–10, 2014 957 ± 3% 45% 48% 1% 5%
Selzer & Co/Des

Moines Register[152]

October 3–8, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 46% 47% 3% 4%
Morey Group[153] October 4–7, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 39% 38% 2% 21%
Magellan[154] October 3, 2014 1,299 ± 2.8% 41% 50% — 9%
Loras College[155] October 1–3, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 42% 4% 12%
NBC News/Marist[156] September 27 – October 1, 2014 778 LV ± 3.5% 44% 46% 1% 9%
1,093 RV ± 3% 45% 44% 1% 11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[157] September 25 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 2.09% 44% 45% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[143] September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,359 ± 2% 44% 43% 1% 12%
Gravis Marketing[158] September 29–30, 2014 522 ± 4% 41% 50% — 10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[159] September 25–30, 2014 800 ± 3.46% 47% 46% — 7%
Public Policy Polling[160] September 25–28, 2014 1,192 ± 2.8% 42% 44% 4%[161] 10%
43% 45% — 12%
Harstad Research[162] September 21–25, 2014 809 ± ? 42% 42% — 16%
Selzer & Co/Des

Moines Register[163]

September 21–24, 2014 546 ± 4.2% 38% 44% 6%[164] 12%
Rasmussen Reports[138] September 17–18, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 43% 4% 14%
Fox News[165] September 14–16, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 41% 6% 12%
Quinnipiac University[166] September 10–15, 2014 1,167 ± 2.9% 44% 50% 1% 4%
CNN/ORC[167] September 8–10, 2014 608 LV ± 4% 49% 48% 1% 2%
904 RV ± 3.5% 50% 42% — 7%
Loras College[168] September 2–5, 2014 1,200 ± 2.82% 45% 41% — 14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[169] August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,764 ± 3% 44% 42% 2% 13%
Public Policy Polling[170] August 28–30, 2014 816 ± 3.4% 43% 45% — 12%
Suffolk[171] August 23–26, 2014 500 ± 4% 40% 40% 5%[172] 15%
Public Policy Polling[173] August 22–24, 2014 915 ± 3.2% 41% 40% 5%[174] 14%
42% 42% — 16%
Rasmussen Reports[138] August 11–12, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 43% 6% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[175] July 5–24, 2014 2,056 ± 2.7% 45% 46% 2% 8%
Gravis Marketing[176] July 17–18, 2014 1,179 ± 3% 44% 43% — 13%
NBC News/Marist[177] July 7–13, 2014 1,599 ± 2.5% 43% 43% 1% 14%
Quinnipiac University[178] June 12–16, 2014 1,277 ± 2.7% 44% 40% — 16%
Vox Populi Polling[179] June 4–5, 2014 665 ± 3.8% 44% 49% — 7%
Loras College[180] June 4–5, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 48% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports[138] June 4–5, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 45% 3% 9%
Public Policy Polling[120] May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 45% 39% — 16%
Hickman Analytics[181] April 24–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 44% 40% — 16%
Suffolk University[182] April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 30% — 33%
Rasmussen Reports[138] March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 37% — 23%
Quinnipiac University[183] March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 29% 1% 27%
Public Policy Polling[115] February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 41% 35% — 23%
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 44% 38% 1% 17%
Harper Polling[185] November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 42% 36% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[186] July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 45% 33% — 22%
Hypothetical polling

with Braley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Mark
Jacobs (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[120] May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 42% 36% — 22%
Hickman Analytics[181] April 24–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43% 42% — 15%
Magellan Strategies[187] April 14–15, 2014 808 ± 3.45% 40% 41% 7% 12%
Suffolk University[188] April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 37% 31% — 33%
Rasmussen Reports[138] March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 38% — 21%
Quinnipiac University[183] March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 40% 31% 1% 28%
Public Policy Polling[115] February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 41% 35% — 24%
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 46% 37% 1% 16%
Harper Polling[185] November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 37% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[186] July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 44% 32% — 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Scott
Schaben (R) 		Other Undecided
Suffolk University[189] April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 25% — 38%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Matthew
Whitaker (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[120] May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 43% 36% — 21%
Suffolk University[190] April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 27% — 35%
Rasmussen Reports[138] March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 36% — 24%
Quinnipiac University[183] March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 30% 1% 26%
Public Policy Polling[115] February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 40% 34% — 26%
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 43% 40% 1% 17%
Harper Polling[185] November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 38% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[186] July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 43% 34% — 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Steve
King (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 38% — 13%
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 39% 34% — 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Sam
Clovis (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[120] May 15–19, 2014 914 ± 3.3% 43% 34% — 23%
Suffolk University[191] April 3–8, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 38% 25% — 36%
Rasmussen Reports[138] March 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 31% — 25%
Quinnipiac University[183] March 5–10, 2014 1,411 ± 2.6% 42% 27% 1% 29%
Public Policy Polling[115] February 20–23, 2014 869 ± 3.3% 42% 34% — 24%
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 45% 34% 1% 20%
Harper Polling[185] November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 40% 35% — 25%
Public Policy Polling[186] July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 43% 31% — 25%
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 38% — 13%
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 39% 34% — 27%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Tom
Latham (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 44% 41% — 15%
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 33% 36% — 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Kim
Reynolds (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 44% 37% — 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		Bob
Vander Plaats (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 46% 40% 1% 14%
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 51% 33% — 16%
Harper Polling[20] January 29, 2013 523 ± 4.3% 41% 26% — 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bruce
Braley (D) 		David
Young (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[184] December 10–15, 2013 1,617 ± 2.4% 44% 36% 1% 19%
Harper Polling[185] November 23–24, 2013 985 ± 3.12% 41% 35% — 24%
Public Policy Polling[186] July 5–7, 2013 668 ± 3.8% 45% 32% — 24%

with Culver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chet
Culver (D) 		Steve
King (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 48% 41% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chet
Culver (D) 		Tom
Latham (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 41% 45% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chet
Culver (D) 		Kim
Reynolds (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 42% 41% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chet
Culver (D) 		Bob
Vander Plaats (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 50% 36% — 14%

with Harkin

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Harkin (D) 		Terry
Branstad (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[192] May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 46% 41% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Harkin (D) 		Steve
King (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[192] May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 48% 37% — 15%
Public Policy Polling[193] October 7–10, 2011 749 ± 3.6% 49% 42% — 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Harkin (D) 		Tom
Latham (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[192] May 3–6, 2012 1,181 ± 2.85% 46% 37% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[193] October 7–10, 2011 749 ± 3.6% 45% 42% — 13%

with Loebsack

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dave
Loebsack (D) 		Steve
King (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 47% 40% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dave
Loebsack (D) 		Tom
Latham (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 40% 43% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dave
Loebsack (D) 		Kim
Reynolds (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 41% 39% — 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dave
Loebsack (D) 		Bob
Vander Plaats (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 34% — 17%

with Vilsack

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Vilsack (D) 		Steve
King (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 49% 39% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Vilsack (D) 		Tom
Latham (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 46% 42% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Vilsack (D) 		Kim
Reynolds (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 46% 38% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Vilsack (D) 		Bob
Vander Plaats (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[123] February 1–3, 2013 846 ± 3.4% 52% 35% — 14%

Results

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United States Senate election in Iowa, 2014[194]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Joni Ernst 588,575 52.10% +14.84%
Democratic Bruce Braley 494,370 43.76% −18.90%
Independent Rick Stewart 26,815 2.37% N/A
Libertarian Douglas Butzier 8,232 0.73% N/A
Independent Bob Quast 5,873 0.52% N/A
Independent Ruth Smith 4,724 0.42% N/A
Write-in 1,111 0.10% +0.02%
Total votes 1,129,700 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Ernst won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[195]

District Ernst Braley Representative
1st 48.3% 47.87% Rod Blum
2nd 48.91% 47.06% Dave Loebsack
3rd 52.19% 43.89% David Young
4th 59.43% 36.17% Steve King

See also

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References

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  2. ^ "Joni Ernst Wins GOP Primary In Iowa Senate Race". Huffington Post. June 3, 2014.
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  6. ^ "Bruce Braley Wins Democratic Primary In Iowa Senate Race". Huffington Post. June 3, 2014. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
  7. ^ Blake, Aaron (February 7, 2013). "Iowa Rep. Bruce Braley to run for Senate". The Fix. Retrieved February 7, 2013.
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  147. ^ Quinnipiac University
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  150. ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
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  152. ^ Iowa Poll
  153. ^ Morey Group Archived October 11, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
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  159. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
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  161. ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Bob Quatz (I) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 0%, Rick Stewart (I) 1%
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  164. ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Bob Quatz (I) 0%, Ruth Smith (I) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Other 1%
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  166. ^ Quinnipiac University
  167. ^ CNN/ORC
  168. ^ Loras College
  169. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  170. ^ Public Policy Polling
  171. ^ Suffolk Archived September 3, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  172. ^ Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Douglas Butzier (L) 1%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 1%
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  174. ^ Douglas Butzier (L) 2%, Rick Stewart (I) 2%, Ruth Smith (I) 1%, Bob Quast (I) 0%
  175. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  176. ^ Gravis Marketing
  177. ^ NBC News/Marist
  178. ^ Quinnipiac University
  179. ^ Vox Populi Polling
  180. ^ Loras College
  181. ^ a b Hickman Analytics
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  186. ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
  187. ^ Magellan Strategies
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  191. ^ Suffolk University Archived November 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
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