2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Turnout	49.34%
	Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Galvin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%
U.S. Representative before election; Don Young; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Don Young; Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Thomas "John" Nelson, businessman^[1]
Jed Whittaker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1996 and perennial candidate.
Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative and Dean of the House of Representatives^[2]

Results

Republican primary results by state house district

Map legend

Young—70–80%
Young—60–70%
Young—50–60%

2018 Alaska Republican primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Don Young (incumbent)	49,667	70.85%
	Republican	Thomas "John" Nelson	10,913	15.57%
	Republican	Jed Whittaker	9,525	13.59%
Total votes			70,105	100%

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Candidates

Declared

Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N)^[4]
Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U)^[5]
Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D)^[6]
Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D)^[7]

Endorsements

Dimitri Shein (D)

Individuals

Cenk Uygur, co-founder and co-host of The Young Turks^[8]

Organizations

Our Revolution

Media

The Young Turks

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results by state house district

Map legend

Galvin—60–70%
Galvin—50–60%
Galvin—40–50%
Galvin—30–40%
Galvin—<30%
Shein—<30%

2018 Alaska Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Independent	Alyse S. Galvin	21,742	53.62%
	Democratic	Dimitri Shein	9,434	23.26%
	Democratic	Carol Hafner	6,071	14.97%
	Independent	Christopher C. Cumings	3,304	8.15%
Total votes			40,551	100%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[10]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections^[11]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics^[13]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos^[14]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight^[15]	Lean R	November 6, 2018

Endorsements

Alyse Galvin (I)

Local and statewide politicians

Eric Croft, Member of the Anchorage Assembly^[16]

Labor unions

National Education Association-Alaska^[17]

Organizations

The Alaska Center^[18]
End Citizens United^[19]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Young (R)	Alyse Galvin (I)	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research^[20]	October 26–29, 2018	500	–	48%	49%	3%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)^[21]	October 13–16, 2018	500	–	48%	44%	8%
Alaska Survey Research^[22]	October 12–14, 2018	500	± 4.4%	49%	47%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)^[23]	October 11–12, 2018	645	–	46%	43%	10%
Alaska Survey Research^[24]	October 1–6, 2018	500	± 4.4%	50%	46%	4%
Alaska Survey Research^[25]	September 21–25, 2018	500	± 4.4%	53%	43%	4%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)^[26]	June 7–12, 2018	540	± 4.2%	40%	36%	24%

Results

2018 Alaska's at-large congressional district^[27]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Don Young (incumbent)	149,779	53.08%	+2.76%
	Independent	Alyse S. Galvin^[a]	131,199	46.50%	+10.48%
	Write-in		1,188	0.42%	+0.02%
Total votes			282,166	100%	N/A
	Republican hold

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area (largest town: Craig)
Petersburg Borough (largest town: Petersburg)
Yakutat Borough
Anchorage (largest town: Anchorage)
Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest town: Fort Yukon)
Nome Census Area (largest town: Nome)
Kusilvak Census Area (largest town: Hooper Bay)
Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)
Dillingham Census Area (largest town: Dillingham)
Aleutians West Census Area (largest town: Unalaska)

Notes

^ ^a ^b Also listed as having the Democratic nomination.

References

^ "John Nelson for Alaskans". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Alaskans for Don Young". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "2018 Alaska primary election results". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative". KRBD. June 8, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Alyse for Alaska". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Carol Hafner for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Dimitri for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
^ "Alaska Candidate Rescues Neglected Children". YouTube. August 17, 2018.
^ "Election Results". Retrieved August 22, 2018.
^ "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report.
^ "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org.
^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
^ "I'm excited to share with you that Anchorage Assembly member Eric Croft has endorsed my campaign for Congress today. I'm grateful to earn his support, and I'm looking forward to continuing to work with him on behalf of a better future for families across Alaska". www.facebook.com. Alyse Galvin for Congress. January 24, 2018.
^ "PACE Recommendations - NEA-Alaska". www.neaalaska.org. NEA-Alaska. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
^ "We Endorse Alyse Galvin for Congress- The Alaska Center". The Alaska Center.
^ Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
^ Alaska Survey Research
^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
^ Alaska Survey Research
^ Public Policy Polling (D)
^ Alaska Survey Research
^ Alaska Survey Research
^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.

External links

Official campaign websites

[Galvin-1] Also listed as having the Democratic nomination.

[house_candidates-2] "John Nelson for Alaskans". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[3] "Alaskans for Don Young". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[4] "2018 Alaska primary election results". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[5] "Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative". KRBD. June 8, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[6] "Alyse for Alaska". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[7] "Carol Hafner for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[8] "Dimitri for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.

[9] "Alaska Candidate Rescues Neglected Children". YouTube. August 17, 2018.

[10] "Election Results". Retrieved August 22, 2018.

[11] "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report.

[12] "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com.

[13] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org.

[14] "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.

[15] "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[16] Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.

[17] "I'm excited to share with you that Anchorage Assembly member Eric Croft has endorsed my campaign for Congress today. I'm grateful to earn his support, and I'm looking forward to continuing to work with him on behalf of a better future for families across Alaska". www.facebook.com. Alyse Galvin for Congress. January 24, 2018.

[18] "PACE Recommendations - NEA-Alaska". www.neaalaska.org. NEA-Alaska. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved August 22, 2018.

[19] "We Endorse Alyse Galvin for Congress- The Alaska Center". The Alaska Center.

[20] Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.

[21] Alaska Survey Research

[22] Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)

[23] Alaska Survey Research

[24] Public Policy Polling (D)

[25] Alaska Survey Research

[26] Alaska Survey Research

[27] Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)

[clerk2018-28] Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.

[a]

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Results

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

References

External links

zproxy.org