The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.
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| Turnout | 47.99% | |||||||||||||||||||
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   Gillibrand: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editKirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[1][2]
Failed to file
editDeclined
edit- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former senator Hillary Clinton[5]
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York Governor
- Caroline Kennedy, former United States Ambassador to Japan, daughter of former president John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family[6]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)[7]
Republican primary
edit
The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]
Failed to file
edit- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[4]
- Patrick John Hahn, civic activist[4]
- Rafael Arden Jones Sr.[4]
- David A. Webber[4]
Declined
edit- Chris Gibson, former U.S. Representative[10]
- Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal[11] (running for Governor)
General election
editEndorsements
editKirsten Gillibrand (D)
Individuals
- Amy Schumer, actress[12]
Organizations
- AFL-CIO[13]
- CSEA[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Giffords[17]
- Human Rights Campaign[18]
- National Organization for Women[19]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[20]
- New York State United Teachers[21]
- PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Working Families[24]
Newspapers
Chele Farley (R)
U.S. President
U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator (R-NY)[31]
U.S. Representatives
- Chris Collins, U.S. Representative (R-NY-27)[32]
- Dan Donovan, U.S. Representative (R-NY-11)[33]
- John Faso, U.S. Representative (R-NY-19)[34]
- John Katko, U.S. Representative (R-NY-24)[35]
- Peter King, U.S. Representative (R-NY-2)[36]
- Tom Reed, U.S. Representative (R-NY-23)[37]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (R-NY-21)[38]
- Claudia Tenney, U.S. Representative (R-NY-22)[39]
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative (R-NY-1)[40]
Governors
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas[41]
- George Pataki, former Governor of New York[42]
Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City[43]
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity[44]
Organizations
- Crown Heights PAC[45]
Newspapers
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[48] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[49] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[51] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN[52] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[53] | Safe D | June 7, 2018 |
†Highest rating given
Polling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Chele Chiavacci Farley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[54] | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 32% | – | 8% |
| Siena College[55] | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[56] | October 10–16, 2018 | 852 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 8% |
| Siena College[57] | September 20–27, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 29% | 0% | 9% |
| Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)[58] | August 29–30, 2018 | 2,783 | ± 1.9% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[59] | July 12–16, 2018 | 934 | ± 4.1% | 57% | 30% | 1% | 10% |
| Siena College[60] | June 4–7, 2018 | 745 | ± 3.7% | 61% | 28% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[61] | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 1,076 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 23% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College[62] | April 8–12, 2018 | 692 | ± 4.3% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
| Siena College[63] | March 11–16, 2018 | 772 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 24% | 0% | 14% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 3,755,489 | 62.02% | −4.36% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 160,128 | 2.64% | −1.12% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 99,325 | 1.64% | −0.43% | |
| Women's Equality | Kirsten Gillibrand | 41,989 | 0.69% | N/A | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,056,931 | 67.00% | −5.21% | |
| Republican | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,730,439 | 28.58% | +5.86% | |
| Conservative | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 246,171 | 4.07% | +0.46% | |
| Reform | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 21,610 | 0.35% | N/A | |
| Total | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,998,220 | 33.00% | +6.66% | |
| Total votes | 6,055,151 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
- Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
- Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
- Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
- Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
- Essex (largest municipality: Ticonderoga)
- Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
- Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
- Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
- Hamilton (largest municipality: Long Lake)
- Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
- Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
- Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
- Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
- Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
- Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
- Steuben (largest municipality: Corning)
- Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
- Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
- Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
- Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)
By congressional district
editGillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.[65]
| District | Gillibrand | Farley | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 53% | 47% | Lee Zeldin |
| 2nd | 54% | 46% | Peter T. King |
| 3rd | 59% | 41% | Thomas Suozzi |
| 4th | 60% | 40% | Kathleen Rice |
| 5th | 89% | 10% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 72% | 28% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 92% | 8% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 90% | 10% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 89% | 11% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 83% | 16% | Jerry Nadler |
| 11th | 55% | 45% | Max Rose |
| 12th | 87% | 13% | Carolyn Maloney |
| 13th | 95% | 5% | Adriano Espaillat |
| 14th | 83% | 16% | Alexandria Ocasio Cortez |
| 15th | 96% | 4% | Jose E. Serrano |
| 16th | 79% | 21% | Eliot Engel |
| 17th | 66% | 34% | Nita Lowey |
| 18th | 57% | 43% | Sean Patrick Maloney |
| 19th | 56% | 44% | Antonio Delgado |
| 20th | 63% | 37% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 53% | 47% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 51% | 49% | Anthony Brindisi |
| 23rd | 51% | 49% | Tom Reed |
| 24th | 58% | 42% | John Katko |
| 25th | 63% | 37% | Joe Morelle |
| 26th | 68% | 32% | Brian Higgins |
| 27th | 47% | 53% | Chris Collins |
References
edit- ^ Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". Retrieved March 16, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
- ^ Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017). "Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report". The Hill. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
- ^ Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
- ^ Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
- ^ Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
- ^ @amyschumer (October 23, 2018). "Tweet" (Tweet) – via Twitter. [dead link]
- ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
- ^ "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- ^ Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
- ^ "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on March 7, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
- ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
- ^ 2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
- ^ tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY. Archived from the original on December 15, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
- ^ "New York". Working Families.
- ^ The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018). "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
- ^ "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
- ^ Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018). "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
- ^ Editorial Board (November 2018). "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
- ^ "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
- ^ McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
- ^ Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News.
- ^ Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
- ^ Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
- ^ Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
- ^ Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- ^ Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- ^ "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
- ^ "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
- ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
- ^ Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- ^ Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
- ^ "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post. October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ Research Co.
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ "Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator" (PDF). elections.ny.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 8, 2021. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
edit- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites
