Newmarket—Aurora (federal electoral district)

Newmarket—Aurora
Ontario electoral district
	Newmarket—Aurora in relation to southern Ontario ridings
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Tony Van Bynen; Liberal
;
District created	2003
First contested	2004
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	109,457
Electors (2015)	83,108
Area (km²)	62
Pop. density (per km²)	1,765.4
Census division(s)	York
Census subdivision(s)	Newmarket, Aurora, East Gwillimbury

Newmarket—Aurora is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

The district contains the towns of Newmarket, Aurora, and a very small portion of East Gwillimbury.

The riding was created for the 2004 election by merging 50% of the riding of York North with 24% of the riding of Vaughan—King—Aurora.

According to the 2006 census, 121,924 people are represented in the House of Commons in this riding.

The major industry in the riding is manufacturing, and auto parts maker Magna International is the largest manufacturer. According to the 2006 census, the average family income is $118,060 which is higher than the national average. Unemployment in the riding is lower than the national average at 3.6%. Retail trade and the service sector are also important to the economy.

Boundaries

The riding consists of that part of the Regional Municipality of York comprising the town of Newmarket, the part of the town of Aurora north of Wellington street, and the part of the town of East Gwillimbury south of Green Lane and west of Highway 404.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census^[3]

Ethnic groups: 60.5% White, 13.8% Chinese, 6.6% West Asian, 4.4% South Asian, 2.6% Black, 2.1% Filipino, 2.0% Southeast Asian, 1.6% Latin American, 1.5% Indigenous, 1.2% Korean, 1.1% Arab
Languages: 61.2% English, 6.3% Mandarin, 4.8% Persian, 3.8% Cantonese, 2.8% Russian, 1.5% Italian, 1.4% Spanish, 1.0% French, 1.0% Tagalog
Religions: 49.7% Christian (23.5% Catholic, 4.7% Christian Orthodox, 3.9% Anglican, 3.4% United Church, 1.5% Presbyterian, 12.7% Other), 6.1% Muslim, 2.2% Buddhist, 1.9% Jewish, 1.5% Hindu, 37.6% None
Median income: $42,800 (2020)
Average income: $59,350 (2020)

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the national political parties:

Party		Association name	CEO	HQ address	HQ city
	Conservative	Newmarket—Aurora Conservative Association	Andrew M. Leroux	276 Alex Doner Drive	Newmarket
	Liberal	Newmarket—Aurora Federal Liberal Association	William P. Chadwick	195 Forsyth Road	Newmarket
	New Democratic	Newmarket—Aurora New Democratic Party Federal Riding Association	Rick Gregory	157 London Road	Newmarket
	Green	Newmarket—Aurora Federal Green Party Association	Carter Apps	132 Patterson Street	Newmarket
	Progressive Canadian	Newmarket—Aurora P.C. Party Association		200-730 Davis Drive	Newmarket

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Newmarket—Aurora Riding created from York North and Vaughan—King—Aurora
38th	2004–2005	Belinda Stronach	Conservative
38th	2005–2006		Liberal
39th	2006–2008		Liberal
40th	2008–2011	Lois Brown	Conservative
41st	2011–2015	Lois Brown	Conservative
42nd	2015–2019	Kyle Peterson	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021	Tony Van Bynen
44th	2021–present	Tony Van Bynen

Election results

Graph of general election results in Newmarket—Aurora (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Tony Van Bynen	24,208	43.8	+0.7	$96,047.56
	Conservative	Harold Kim	21,173	38.3	+0.5	$112,882.72
	New Democratic	Yvonne Kelly	6,338	11.5	+0.8	$17,822.22
	People's	Andre Gagnon	2,296	4.2	+3.2	$3,308.84
	Green	Tim Fleming	1,105	1.8	-4.0	$500.00
	Independent	Dorian Baxter	260	0.5	-0.9^[4]	$1,598.82
Total valid votes			55,290
Total rejected ballots			372
Turnout			55,662	60.58
Eligible voters			91,879
Source: Elections Canada^[5]

2021 federal election redistributed results^[6]
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	22,067	43.78
	Conservative	19,236	38.16
	New Democratic	5,824	11.55
	People's	2,114	4.19
	Green	929	1.84
	Others	240	0.48

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Tony Van Bynen	26,488	43.1	-2.08	$88,608.07
	Conservative	Lois Brown	23,232	37.8	-7.81	$74,278.42
	New Democratic	Yvonne Kelly	6,576	10.7	+2.19	$18,620.10
	Green	Walter Bauer	3,551	5.8	+3.44	none listed
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	901	1.5	+0.15	none listed
	People's	Andrew McCaughtrie	588	1.0	–	none listed
	Rhinoceros	Laurie Goble	104	0.2	–	none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			61,460	100.0
Total rejected ballots			424
Turnout			61,884	67.3
Eligible voters			91,920
	Liberal hold		Swing		+2.87
Source: Elections Canada^[7]

2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Kyle Peterson	25,508	45.18	+21.47	$84,535.55
	Conservative	Lois Brown	24,057	42.61	−11.45	$162,456.63
	New Democratic	Yvonne Kelly	4,806	8.51	−7.28	$26,593.85
	Green	Vanessa Long	1,331	2.36	−2.03	$2,677.04
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	762	1.35		$3,282.89
Total valid votes/Expense limit			56,464	100.00		$219,830.00
Total rejected ballots			257	0.45	–
Turnout			56,721	68.25	–
Eligible voters			83,108
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+16.46
Source: Elections Canada^[8]^[9]^[10]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[11]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,557	54.05
	Liberal	11,207	23.70
	New Democratic	7,467	15.79
	Green	2,072	4.38
	Others	977	2.07

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Lois Brown	31,600	54.29	+7.56
	Liberal	Kyle Peterson	13,908	23.90	−10.39
	New Democratic	Kassandra Bidarian	8,886	15.27	+6.80
	Green	Vanessa Long	2,628	4.52	−3.71
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	998	1.71	−0.18
	Animal Alliance	Yvonne Mackie	182	0.31
Total valid votes			58,202	100.00
Total rejected ballots			219	0.37
Turnout			58,421	64.01
Eligible voters			91,275

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Lois Brown	24,873	46.73	+8.68
	Liberal	Tim Jones	18,250	34.29	−11.93
	New Democratic	Mike Seaward	4,508	8.47	−1.12
	Green	Glenn Hubbers	4,381	8.23	+3.46
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	1,004	1.89	+0.65
	Christian Heritage	Ray Luff	211	0.40

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Belinda Stronach	27,176	46.22	+5.14
	Conservative	Lois Brown	22,371	38.05	−4.37
	New Democratic	Ed Chudak	5,639	9.59	−0.34
	Green	Glenn Hubbers	2,805	4.77	+0.30
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	729	1.24	−0.86
	Canadian Action	Peter Maloney	79	0.13

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Belinda Stronach	21,818	42.42	−2.43
	Liberal	Martha Hall Findlay	21,129	41.08	−9.48
	New Democratic	Ed Chudak	5,111	9.93	+6.18
	Green	Daryl Wyatt	2,298	4.47
	Progressive Canadian	Dorian Baxter	1,079	2.10	–
Total valid votes			51,435	100.00	–
Change is from redistributed 2000 results. Conservative change is from the total of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative votes.

References

"Newmarket—Aurora (federal electoral district) (Code 35053) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
Riding history from the Library of Parliament
2011 results from Elections Canada
Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

^ Statistics Canada: 2011
^ Statistics Canada: 2011
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Newmarket--Aurora [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
^ Change is based on Baxter's 2019 run as a Progressive Canadian candidate.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 17, 2019.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Newmarket—Aurora, 30 September 2015
^ "Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates". Archived from the original on August 15, 2015. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 20, 2015.
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

44°01′37″N 79°26′56″W / 44.027°N 79.449°W / 44.027; -79.449

[1] Statistics Canada: 2011

[2] Statistics Canada: 2011

[3] Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Newmarket--Aurora [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 3, 2023.

[4] Change is based on Baxter's 2019 run as a Progressive Canadian candidate.

[5] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.

[6] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[7] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 17, 2019.

[8] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Newmarket—Aurora, 30 September 2015

[9] "Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates". Archived from the original on August 15, 2015. Retrieved April 17, 2020.

[10] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 20, 2015.

[11] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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Newmarket—Aurora (federal electoral district)

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