Wikipedia

Opinion polling for the 2019 Spanish local elections

In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Nationwide polling

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The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout               PNV           Lead
2019 local elections 26 May 2019 — 65.2 22.6 29.4 [a] 9.2 [a] [b] 3.9 1.8 1.5 1.1 3.7 7.2 2.5 6.8
GAD3/ABC[1] 17–20 May 2019 1,000 ? 20.0 30.0 [a] 12.0 2.0 [b] 3.0 2.0 1.0 – 4.0 8.0 3.0 10.0
GAD3/ABC[2] 12 May 2019 ? ? 19.0 28.0 [a] 14.0 1.5 – – – – – 5.5 9.0 – 9.0
2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 — 75.8 16.7 28.7 [a] 15.9 [a] [b] 3.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 10.3 14.3 1.9 12.0
GAD3/ABC[3] 26 Dec 2018 ? 66.0 26.0 25.0 8.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 – – 1.0
Desk Research/PSOE[4] 21 May 2018 ? 63 23.6 26.4 7.7 18.2 4.0 2.0 2.9 2.0 1.0 1.0 – – – 2.8
Desk Research/PSOE[4][5][6][7] 9 Apr 2018 10,000 63 24.3 26.2 8.1 17.1 4.0 2.3 2.9 2.0 1.0 1.0 – – – 1.9
GAD3/ABC[8][9] 31 Jan–7 Feb 2018 1,002 63.0 26.0 26.0 8.0 16.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 – – – Tie
2015 local elections 24 May 2015 — 64.8 27.0 25.0 8.6* 6.6 5.4 3.0** 2.3 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 – – 2.0
(*) Includes 0.7% from ICV–EUiA–E and from 0.3% from Son–EU–Anova.
(**) Results for Convergence and Union.

Sub-national polling

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Opinion poll results for municipalities in each of Spain's autonomous communities, as well as for the Canarian cabildos insulares and the Balearic island councils, may be found through the following links:

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e f Within Unidas Podemos.
  2. ^ a b c Within JxCat–Junts.

References

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  1. ^ "PSOE y PP ganan terreno en la última semana y lograrían la mitad de los votos en las municipales". ABC (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  2. ^ "El PSOE se impondrá el 26-M y el PP superará por 5 puntos a Ciudadanos". ABC (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
  3. ^ "PP, Ciudadanos y Vox superan por cuatro puntos a la izquierda en las elecciones municipales". ABC (in Spanish). 26 December 2018.
  4. ^ a b "El PSOE se marca el reto de "capitalizar la desafección por la lucha PP-Cs" en el centro". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 21 May 2018.
  5. ^ "Un estudio del PSOE le sitúa como primera fuerza en municipales y europeas". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
  6. ^ "El PSOE estima que sacará 2 puntos al PP y 9 a Cs en las municipales de 2019". Qué (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
  7. ^ "La primera fuerza del país". PSOE (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
  8. ^ "PP y Ciudadanos podrían recuperar 14 capitales y sumarían mayoría en 35". ABC (in Spanish). 12 February 2018.
  9. ^ "Un sondeo asegura que PP y Cs ganarían las municipales en 14 capitales españolas". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 12 February 2018.
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