Wikipedia

Ottawa South

For the Ontario provincial electoral district, see Ottawa South (provincial electoral district). For the neighbourhood in Ottawa, see Old Ottawa South. For the soccer team, see Ottawa South United.

Ottawa South (French: Ottawa-Sud) is a federal electoral district in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. It is represented in the House of Commons of Canada by David McGuinty, brother of former Premier of Ontario and Ottawa South MPP Dalton McGuinty. It has been held continuously by Liberal candidates since it was first contested in 1988, and is regarded as one of the strongest Liberal ridings in Canada. Ottawa South is a suburban, generally middle class riding, notable for having the highest Arab population in Ontario.[3]

Ottawa South
Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South in relation to other electoral districts in Ottawa (2003 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
David McGuinty
Liberal
District created1987
First contested1988
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]121,058
Electors (2021)92,759
Area (km²)[2]73.26
Pop. density (per km²)1,652.4
Census division(s)Ottawa
Census subdivision(s)Ottawa

Geography

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The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. It is bounded on the north and east by Highway 417, on the west by the Rideau River and on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River and Hunt Club Road, then east to Limebank Road, south to Leitrim Road, east to the CP Rail line, north to Lester Road, then east along Lester and Davidson Road to Conroy Road, north to Hunt Club Road and east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts include Ottawa—Vanier to the north, Orléans to the east, Carleton to the south and Ottawa West—Nepean and Ottawa Centre to the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods of Riverview, Eastway Gardens, Alta Vista, Riverside Park, Billings Bridge, Heron Park, Mooney's Bay, Hunt Club Woods, Hunt Club Estate, Hunt Club Chase, South Keys, Ellwood, Heron Gate, Sheffield Glen, Airport-Uplands, Elizabeth Park, Windsor Park Village, and Blossom Park in the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km2. There are 233 polling divisions.

Party support

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The Liberal Party has held the riding since its creation in 1988. The closest election was a 7% Liberal win in 2006. The riding has voted Liberal even during Progressive Conservative and Conservative governments. The New Democratic Party received its greatest level of support in the 2021 election at 19%. The Greens saw their highest vote here in 2008 with 7%.

Political geography

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The Liberals have support in most parts of the riding. In the 2004 election, the strongest Liberal areas were in the Alta Vista neighbourhood. However, in the 2006 election, they lost some of this support, but it was gained from lower income areas such as Heron Gate. By 2008, the Liberals had gained much of their support back in Alta Vista.

The Conservatives have their strongest amount in the southern parts of the riding, especially in the community of Blossom Park and around the Macdonald-Cartier International Airport By 2006, the Conservatives had won the neighbourhood of Elmvale Acres, but this was lost in 2008. The New Democrats have only won one poll in recent memory, and that was a poll in Heron Gate in 2004.[2] [3] [4][5]

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[4]

Ethnic groups: 52.2% White, 14.7% Black, 12.4% Arab, 4.9% South Asian, 3.6% Indigenous, 3.3% Chinese, 2.2% Filipino, 1.8% Latin American, 1.6% West Asian, 1.2% Southeast Asian,
Languages: 51.1% English, 10.6% French, 9.7% Arabic, 2.1% Somali, 1.8% Spanish, 1.5% Mandarin, 1.0% Italian, 1.0% Tagalog
Religions: 51.1% Christian (28.0% Catholic, 3.4% Anglican, 3.1% Christian Orthodox, 2.7% United Church, 1.3% Pentecostal, 12.6% Other), 18.1% Muslim, 1.6% Hindu, 1.1% Jewish, 25.9% None
Median income: $42,000 (2020)
Average income: $55,600 (2020)

Riding associations

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Riding associations are the local branches of national political parties:

The list of registered riding associations is available from Elections Canada.

Party Association name President
New Democratic Ottawa South Federal NDP Morgan Gay
Liberal Ottawa South Federal Liberal Association Richard A. Pommainville
Conservative Ottawa South Conservative Association Ron Leaman
Green Ottawa South Federal Green Party Association Nirmala Dookeran
People's Ottawa South PPC Association Ilian Nikolov

History

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The district was created in 1987. 65.7% was from Ottawa—Carleton, 20.1% from Ottawa Centre and 14.2% from Ottawa—Vanier. At the time, it was bounded on the west by the Rideau River, on the north by the Queensway, on the east by the city limits at the time, and on the south by the following line (from west to east beginning at the Rideau River): Ottawa city limits, River Road, Limebank Road, Leitrim Road, Canadian Pacific Railway, Lester Road (allowance for a road between lots 10 and 11, Concession 3 in Gloucester Township, Albion Road, Walkley Road.

1996 Redistribution

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Following the 1996 redistribution, the riding added the neighbourhood of Hunt Club Park from Carleton—Gloucester, by changing the southeastern boundary to the city limits at the time (from Walkley to Conroy).

2003 Redistribution

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Following the 2003 redistribution, the riding's eastern boundary was changed to Highway 417 from the former city limits. The boundary would follow Highway 417 from the Rideau River until Hunt Club Road. This shift added in a small piece of territory that was in Ottawa—Vanier and Ottawa—Orléans riding.

2012 Redistribution

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Only a minor change to the riding's boundaries occurred followed the 2012 redistribution of Canada's ridings. Ottawa South lost all of its territory south of Hunt Club Road and West of Riverside Drive. This area, which only had 27 people as of the Canada 2011 Census[5] was transferred to the new riding of Carleton.

2022 Redistribution

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The 2022 Federal Redistribution pushed the riding boundaries southward to encompass the growing neighbourhood of Findlay Creek, formerly part of the Carleton riding. The new boundaries will be in effect for the next Federal election to be held no later than 2025.

It also took away the north-west corner of the riding. The area between the Rideau River and Bank St in the east to the Railway Tracks to the south, encompassing the neighbourhoods of Riverside Park, Billings Bridge and Heron Park were moved to the Ottawa Centre riding.

Members of Parliament

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The riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Ottawa South
Riding created from Ottawa—Carleton, Ottawa Centre
and Ottawa—Vanier
34th  1988–1993     John Manley Liberal
35th  1993–1997
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006 David McGuinty
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Current member of Parliament

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The member of Parliament (MP) for Ottawa South is David McGuinty, a former businessman, immigration officer, lawyer and professor. He was first elected in 2004. He is a member of the Liberal Party of Canada.

Election results

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Graph of election results in Ottawa South (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Next

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The Conservatives have nominated police officer Blair Turner to be their candidate. He is the son of former Progressive Conservative MP for Ottawa—Carleton Barry Turner.[6]

Next Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Blair Turner
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2021

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2021 federal election redistributed results[7]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 29,250 49.41
  Conservative 15,963 26.97
  New Democratic 10,729 18.12
  People's 1,829 3.09
  Green 1,300 2.20
  Others 124 0.21

Incumbent Liberal MP David McGuinty faced a re-match against local businessman Eli Tannis of the Conservative Party. The NDP ran national security expert Huda Mukbil.[8] McGuinty easily won re-election with a slightly reduced majority, while the NDP had its strongest federal result in the riding's history, besting its prior high-water mark in 2011.

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 29,038 48.81 -3.51 $90,172.30
Conservative Eli Tannis 15,497 26.05 +1.54 $109,078.40
New Democratic Huda Mukbil 11,514 19.35 +3.36 $30,779.59
People's Chylow Hall 1,898 3.19 +2.09 $5,112.54
Green Les Schram 1,401 2.35 -3.22 $1,305.45
Communist Larry Wasslen 144 0.24 +0.09 $0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 59,529 99.04 – $118,434.85
Total rejected ballots 575 0.96 +0.09
Turnout 60,069 66.71 -4.39
Eligible voters 90,041
Liberal hold Swing -2.52
Source: Elections Canada[9]

2019

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Incumbent MP David McGuinty ran for re-election, and was challenged by Conservative Eli Tannis, a Lebanese-Canadian entrepreneur,[10] New Democrat Morgan Gay, a community organizer[11] and Green Les Schram, a self employed consultant.[12] Despite winning 5,000 fewer votes than he had four years earlier, he easily held off the challenge from his nearest (Conservative) rival, with more than double the latter's total.


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 34,205 52.32 -7.74 $80,576.61
Conservative Eli Tannis 16,025 24.51 +0.21 $106,966.51
New Democratic Morgan Gay 10,457 16.00 +4.42 none listed
Green Les Schram 3,645 5.58 +2.66 $3,248.53
People's Rodrigo André Bolaños 717 1.10 – none listed
Independent Ahmed Bouragba 141 0.22 – $0.00
Communist Larry Wasslen 99 0.15 -0.06 none listed
Independent Sarmad Laith 87 0.13 – none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 65,376 99.13 –
Total rejected ballots 574 0.87 +0.33
Turnout 65,950 71.10 -2.46
Eligible voters 92,759
Liberal hold Swing -3.98
Source: Elections Canada[13][14]

2015

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While the Liberals were the third party in Parliament, David McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's critic for Natural Resources (2011–2012), Industry (2013) and the Privy Council Office (2013–2015). He was easily re-elected in 2015 when the Liberals were swept into power. He defeated the Conservative candidate, Dev Balkissoon, a consulting firm owner[15] by over 23,000 votes. Balkissoon was criticized during the campaign for missing an all-candidates debate.[16] The NDP candidate was George Brown, a former Ottawa City councillor for Riverside Ward (1985–1994), and the Green candidate was John Redins, a disabilities rights activist.

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 38,831 60.06 +16.05 $119,103.32
Conservative Dev Balkissoon 15,711 24.30 -8.98 $89,467.46
New Democratic George Brown 7,480 11.57 -6.59 $18,683.33
Green John Redins 1,888 2.92 -0.11 $3,221.56
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 366 0.57 – –
Libertarian Damien Wilson 237 0.37 – $97.29
Communist Larry Wasslen 136 0.21 – –
Total valid votes/Expense limit 64,649 99.46   $225,034.63
Total rejected ballots 351 0.54 –
Turnout 65,000 73.56 –
Eligible voters 88,368
Liberal hold Swing +12.52
Source: Elections Canada[17]
2011 federal election redistributed results[18]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 25,954 44.01
  Conservative 19,626 33.28
  New Democratic 10,709 18.16
  Green 1,787 3.03
  Others 895 1.52

2011

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2011 election popular vote map by polling division

While in opposition, McGuinty was promoted to the position of the Official Opposition House leader. Once again, he faced and defeated Elie Salibi, the Conservative candidate. McGuinty was one of only 34 Liberals elected to the House of Commons in the election, and both he and Salibi saw a reduction in their percentage of votes. The NDP candidate, James McLaren, a teacher, had the second best (after 2021) performance for the NDP in riding history, despite a mid-campaign controversy regarding comments he made on Facebook.[19]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 25,963 44.01 -5.89 –
Conservative Elie Salibi 19,634 33.28 -0.09 –
New Democratic James McLaren 10,712 18.16 +9.71 –
Green Mick Kitor 1,787 3.03 -3.74 –
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 513 0.87 -0.19 –
Pirate Mike Bleskie 382 0.65 n.a. –
Total valid votes 58,991 100.00 –
Total rejected ballots 279 0.47 -0.12
Turnout 59,270 69.11%
Liberal hold Swing -5.80
Source: Elections Canada[20]

2008

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2008 election popular vote map by polling division

In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Elie Salibi, the director of international sales with Corel, who was born in Lebanon. The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, a Carleton University political science student of Bengali descent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a doctor, born in Yemen. Former Libertarian Party leader Jean-Serge Brisson also ran, as well as Al Gullon, the Progressive Canadian candidate. Facing lower turnout in the riding itself, as well as nationwide, and a strong lack of enthusiasm for the Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, McGuinty was able to increase his vote total, and his lead over his closest opponent, from the 2006 election. McGuinty just barely missed the 50% mark, but was nonetheless re-elected handily in Ottawa South.

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 29,035 49.90 +5.75 $82,793
Conservative Elie Salibi 19,417 33.37 -4.06 $89,808
New Democratic Hijal De Sarkar 4,920 8.45 -4.78 $5,110
Green Qais Ghanem 3,939 6.77 +2.03 $20,330
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 620 1.06 +0.62 $92
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 244 0.41 –
Total valid votes/Expense limit 58,175 100.00 $89,843
Total rejected ballots 346 0.59 +0.11
Turnout 58,521 66.82 -4.89
Liberal hold Swing +4.91

Nomination contests

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Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence ?
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence February 23, 2007[21]
Elie Salibi Ottawa 278
George M. Brown Ottawa 182
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence September 11, 2008
Hijal De Sarkar Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence June 16, 2007
Qais Ghanem Ottawa X
Peter Tretter Ottawa

2006

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2006 election popular vote map by polling division

David McGuinty was re-elected after two years as a Liberal backbencher. The race was expected to be closer than 2004, which it was, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler. Cutler was the whistleblower in the Liberal Sponsorship Scandal which saw millions of dollars of public funds transferred to Liberal friendly firms in Quebec during the Chrétien era. The margin of victory between the liberal and his conservative challenger was closer than in 2004, but McGuinty eventually came out on top. Cutler himself was painted as a hypocrite as he would not address the issue of his nomination. Accusations started that 2004 candidate Alan Riddell was given $50,000 not to stand for nomination in the race. Riddell was also pushed aside in an earlier nomination race that saw former MP Barry Turner acclaimed, but would later drop out, forcing a new race. Running for the NDP was the Lebanese-born economist Henri Sader who faced a difficult challenge holding on to the votes that Monia Mazigh won in the previous election. Running again for Greens again was John Ford who failed to hold on to his votes, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who lost votes as well. Thomson had all but dropped out however, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned to run Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 27,158 44.15 +0.33 $78,559
Conservative Allan Cutler 23,028 37.43 +2.62 $74,021
New Democratic Henri Sader 8,138 13.23 -0.41 $30,456
Green John Ford 2,913 4.74 -1.00 $2,095
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 273 0.44 -0.2 $2,743
Difference 4,124 6.71 -2.29
Rejected Ballots 298 0.5 -0.1
Turnout 61,808 71.71 +2.00
Liberal hold Swing +2.29

Nomination contests

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Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 9, 2005
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 17, 2005
Barry Turner Nepean X

Barry Turner was acclaimed for the nomination when Allan Riddell, the party's candidate in 2004, withdrew because of allegations about a prank in which he was involved in university. The party later cancelled Turner's nomination and called a new meeting. Turner was not able to get an answer from the party about why the nomination was cancelled, and decided against seeking the nomination again.[22][23] Allan Cutler announced that he would seek the nomination.

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence November 25, 2005
Allan S. Cutler Nepean X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence November 10, 2005
Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte Ottawa
Henri Sader Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence August 29, 2005
John Ford Ottawa X

2004

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Map of the results by poll in 2004.

The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was among a number of high-profile Liberals to retire who were known to be Jean Chrétien loyalists. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty, won the Liberal nomination. He was known to be a friend of Prime Minister Paul Martin. McGuinty faced a steep challenge from Alan Riddell, another lawyer, and Monia Mazigh, the NDP candidate. Riddell, the Conservative candidate, had suffered bad press when it was discovered he had been driving with a suspended license. Mazigh, who lived in Nepean, was another high-profile candidate, being the wife of Maher Arar, who was wrongly accused of terrorism. McGuinty suffered too, as his brother's government was unpopular at the time, but in the end was victorious.

2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 25,956 43.82 -7.5 $74,148
Conservative Alan Riddell 20,622 34.81 -5.3 $57,520
New Democratic Monia Mazigh 8,080 13.64 +6.9 $73,230
Green John Ford 3,398 5.73 n/a $2,205
Marijuana John Akpata 495 0.83 -0.5
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 375 0.63 n/a $2,743
Independent Raymond Aubin 225 0.37 n/a $988
Marxist–Leninist Saroj Bains 79 0.13 -0.1
Difference 5,334 8.95 -17.9
Rejected Ballots 361 0.61 +0.2
Turnout 59,591 69.67 +7.7
Liberal hold Swing +2.2

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election.

Results by neighbourhood

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[24]

Community John Akpata Raymond Aubin Saroj
Bains 		John
Ford 		Monia Mazigh David McGuinty Alan Riddell Brad Thomson
Mar. Ind. M-L Green NDP Liberal Cons. PC Party
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Eastway Gardens 4 1.1 8 2.3 1 0.3 19 5.5 25 7.2 161 46.5 127 36.7 1 0.3
Cyrville 0 0.0 4 2.2 0 0.0 12 6.5 17 9.2 91 49.2 57 30.8 4 2.2
Riverview 53 1.0 27 0.5 6 0.1 332 6.3 830 15.8 2482 47.3 1488 28.3 32 0.6
Rideau Park 9 0.7 0 0.0 0 0.0 74 6.0 106 8.6 646 52.4 393 31.9 5 0.4
Applewood Acres 4 0.4 5 0.5 0 0.0 80 7.4 134 12.4 551 50.8 304 28.0 6 0.6
Alta Vista 11 0.9 0 0.0 2 0.2 97 8.0 151 12.4 584 47.9 368 30.2 5 0.4
Ridgemont 5 0.8 3 0.5 2 0.3 54 8.4 82 12.7 305 47.4 188 29.2 5 0.8
Playfair Park 2 0.2 4 0.4 1 0.1 49 4.5 83 7.7 571 52.7 373 34.4 1 0.1
Guildwood Estates 1 0.1 0 0.0 2 0.3 37 5.2 47 6.6 389 54.3 238 33.2 3 0.4
Urbandale Acres 4 0.3 7 0.6 1 0.1 75 6.2 126 10.3 575 47.2 423 34.7 7 0.6
Elmvale Acres 14 0.8 12 0.7 2 0.1 123 6.8 214 11.8 792 43.6 649 35.8 11 0.6
Urbandale 13 0.6 11 0.5 3 0.1 168 7.6 209 9.5 979 44.4 810 36.7 13 0.6
Hawthorne Meadows 15 1.2 9 0.7 0 0.0 38 3.0 207 16.1 583 45.3 425 33.0 10 0.8
Sheffield Glen 21 1.7 5 0.4 3 0.2 55 4.4 203 16.3 534 42.9 415 33.3 9 0.7
Billings Bridge 17 1.2 10 0.7 4 0.3 74 5.4 253 18.5 619 45.2 381 27.8 12 0.9
Heron Park 7 0.8 9 1.1 2 0.2 48 5.7 143 17.0 364 43.2 266 31.6 3 0.4
Riverside Park 14 0.9 6 0.4 5 0.3 97 6.1 198 12.4 749 46.8 526 32.9 9 0.6
Mooney's Bay 4 0.4 0 0.0 1 0.1 91 8.9 111 10.8 487 47.5 329 32.1 3 0.3
Riverside Park South 9 0.8 7 0.6 2 0.2 86 7.3 137 11.6 472 40.1 459 39.0 6 0.5
Ellwood 12 1.5 6 0.8 3 0.4 41 5.2 139 17.6 359 45.4 227 28.7 4 0.5
Heron Gate 30 1.1 10 0.4 6 0.2 139 4.9 756 26.5 1150 40.3 723 25.4 38 1.3
Hunt Club Woods 18 0.9 3 0.2 2 0.1 110 5.6 272 13.9 867 44.2 677 34.5 11 0.6
Hunt Club Estate 23 1.3 2 0.1 2 0.1 124 7.0 282 15.9 751 42.4 573 32.3 16 0.9
Hunt Club Chase 20 1.2 2 0.1 0 0.0 129 7.5 205 12.0 761 44.5 580 33.9 12 0.7
Elizabeth Park 4 2.6 1 0.7 0 0.0 9 5.9 14 9.2 46 30.3 77 50.7 1 0.7
Windsor Park Village 4 1.4 1 0.3 0 0.0 23 7.8 38 13.0 88 30.0 134 45.7 5 1.7
South Keys 13 0.8 13 0.8. 2 0.1 84 5.0 221 13.2 666 39.9 663 39.7 7 0.4
Greenboro 43 0.9 11 0.2 8 0.2 225 4.9 712 15.7 1989 43.7 1536 33.8 23 0.5
Hunt Club Park 18 0.5 7 0.2 5 0.1 167 4.6 481 13.2 1717 47.1 1227 33.7 23 0.6
Blossom Park 69 1.3 25 0.5 4 0.1 307 5.7 755 14.0 2067 38.4 2117 39.3 40 0.7

Nomination contests

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Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 6, 2004
Camille Awada Ottawa
Diane Deans Ottawa
Sheila Gervais Ottawa
John Samuel Ottawa
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 8, 2004
Brad Darbyson Ottawa
Terry Kilrea Nepean
Alan Riddell Ottawa X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence April 14, 2004
Jeannie Page Ottawa
Monia Mazigh Nepean X

2000

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By 2000, Manley had progressed to Minister of Foreign Affairs. He defeated Brad Darbyson, the Canadian Alliance candidate, who was an investment counsellor. Finishing in third was engineer Kevin Lister, the Progressive Conservative candidate and native Albertan.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 26,585 51.3 -7.7 $51,901
Alliance Brad Darbyson 12,677 24.5 +8.6 $40,183
Progressive Conservative Kevin Lister 8,096 15.6 +0.4 $23,923
New Democratic Jeannie Page 3,463 6.7 -1.5 $11,522
Marijuana Ron Whalen 679 1.3 n/a
Natural Law James Hea 141 0.3 0.0
Marxist–Leninist Marsha Fine 80 0.2 -0.1
Communist Mick Panesar 69 0.1 n/a $246
Difference 13,908 26.9 -16.3
Rejected Ballots 231 0.4 -0.3
Turnout 52,021 62.0 -10.3
  Liberal hold Swing -8.2 -3.8

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.

1997

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Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1996 version. The remaining 5% came from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley, now the Minister of Industry was once again re-elected. He faced opposition from the Somali community in the riding for his indifference to their needs and concerns. This did not have enough impact, however, and Manley won again with another massive majority. He defeated Carla Marie Dancey, the Reform Party candidate who lived outside the riding. Also running was Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MP Gerry Weiner. Many attribute Manley's victory to attracting business to Ottawa's high tech sector.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 31,725 59.01 -7.19 $50,315
Reform Carla Marie Dancey 8,522 15.85 +1.38 $24,092
Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley 8,115 15.09 +2.77 $23,773
New Democratic Marcella Munro 4,374 8.14 +4.25 $23,462
Green Maria Von Fickenstein 440 0.82 $0
Canadian Action Paula Williams 281 0.52 n/a $1,364
Natural Law Richard Michael Wolfson 167 0.31 $0
Marxist–Leninist Anna di Carlo 140 0.26 $0
Difference 23,203 43.2 -8.7
Rejected Ballots 382 0.7
Turnout 54,146 72.3
  Liberal hold Swing -4.29

1993

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1993 federal election redistributed results[25]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 37,500 66.20
  Reform 8,197 14.47
  Progressive Conservative 6,979 12.32
  New Democratic 2,202 3.89
  Others 1,768 3.12

Manley was re-elected, as part of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals. He defeated consulting engineer Doug Walkinshaw of the Reform Party. Joe Anton, the Progressive Conservative candidate, an auditor for Revenue Canada defeated the former mayor of Kanata for the Tory nomination. Ursule Critoph, an economist, was the NDP candidate.

1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 36,485 65.93 +15.10 $116,684
Reform Doug Walkinshaw 8,003 14.46 n/a $46,281
Progressive Conservative Joe Anton 6,971 12.60 -22.46 $18,730
New Democratic Ursule Critoph 2,169 3.92 -9.62 $39,876
National George Shirreff 1,038 1.88 n/a
Green Joe Palmer 358 0.65 n/a
Natural Law Ronald J.D. Parker 251 0.45 n/a
Marxist–Leninist Louise Waldman 63 0.11 n/a
Valid votes 55,338 100.0
  Liberal hold Swing +0.32

[26]

1988

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Ottawa South in 1987 showing the districts from which it was created.

Barry Turner was the Progressive Conservative incumbent MP going into the 1988 election. He had previously been the MP for the Ottawa—Carleton riding. As an MP, Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP. However, he would end up being defeated by John Manley, a lawyer with a specialty in tax law. Many [who?] attribute the loss to a phone and mail campaign by the Public Service Alliance of Canada, which was upset at the Progressive Conservative Government's cuts to the civil service.[clarification needed]


1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 27,740 50.83 +14.17 $60,329
Progressive Conservative Barry Turner 19,134 35.06 -10.04 $43,380
New Democratic John Fryer 7,392 13.54 -3.26 $42,207
Libertarian Marc A. Shindler 146 0.27 –
Commonwealth of Canada Jack C. Chambers 90 0.16 –
Independent Charles Boylan 74 0.14 –
Difference 8,606 15.8
Valid votes 54,576
Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +12.11

^ Change based on redistributed results.

Opinion polls

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Polling Firm Link LPC PC NDP
CJOH-Optima [27] 44 27 13

1984 (transposed)

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1984 federal election redistributed results[27]
Party Vote %
  Progressive Conservative 22,490 45.10
  Liberal 18,280 36.66
  New Democratic 8,381 16.81
  Others 717 1.44

See also

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References

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  • "Ottawa South (Code 35064) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2016
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2011
  3. ^ "Riding: Ottawa South". Pundit's Guide to Canadian Federal Elections.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Ottawa South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 8, 2023.
  5. ^ Population corresponds to Census Block 3506148710
  6. ^ "blairturner.ca". blairturner.ca/. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
  7. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  8. ^ "Former CSIS intelligence officer seeking NDP nomination in Ottawa South, McGuinty stronghold". The Hill Times. July 5, 2021. Retrieved September 26, 2021.
  9. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  10. ^ "Meet Eli Tannis". Archived from the original on May 13, 2019.
  11. ^ "About - Morgan Gay - Ottawa South NDP". Archived from the original on May 8, 2019.
  12. ^ "Les Schram | Green Party of Ontario". Archived from the original on March 7, 2018.
  13. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  14. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved July 23, 2021.
  15. ^ "Meet the Ottawa South Conservative Party candidate: Dev Balkissoon". September 24, 2015.
  16. ^ "Conservative candidate's absence at Ottawa South debate 'slap in the face'". October 9, 2015.
  17. ^ Elections Canada
  18. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  19. ^ [1][usurped]
  20. ^ "Election Night Results - Electoral Districts".
  21. ^ "Elie Salibi Selected as Ottawa South's Conservative Candidate | Ottawa South Conservative Association". Archived from the original on April 2, 2015.
  22. ^ "View topic - Ottawa South :: Free Dominion - Principled Conservative - Party and Canadian Politics - Canada Blogs". Archived from the original on September 27, 2007. Retrieved November 23, 2005.
  23. ^ "35064 - Ottawa South".
  24. ^ Poll-by-poll results
  25. ^ Pundit's Guide to Canadian Elections - Internet Archive
  26. ^ Canadian Politics: Riding by Riding, pg 191
  27. ^ a b "New suburban riding leaning hard toward the Grits". Ottawa Citizen. November 16, 1988. p. 19. Retrieved June 22, 2024.
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45°21′33.372″N 75°39′51.69″W / 45.35927000°N 75.6643583°W / 45.35927000; -75.6643583

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