Talk:2021–22 Australian region cyclone season

Latest comment: 2 years ago by RandomInfinity17 in topic Cyclone Seth
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Feel free to add more. Kindly check this links for wind and rain observations from respective observers. Also, don't forget to archive if you're using these links in a section of this article, as the informations there are always changing EVERY TEN (10) MINUTES.

BoM and NIWA forecasts for the 2021-22 Australian region cyclone season

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I'll leave it here for those who want to add it.

Location of advisories

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Tropical Cyclone Outlooks: BMKG
BOM: Western // Northern // Eastern
JTWC: Indian Ocean // South Pacific Ocean
Tropical Cyclone Ocean Warnings:
BMKG: 01 // 02
BOM: Western 1 // Western 2 // Northern 1 // Northern 2 // Eastern 1 // Eastern 2
JTWC (South Indian Ocean): 01 // 02 // 03
JTWC (South Pacific Ocean): 01 // 02 // 03
Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletins:
BOM: Western 1 // Western 2 // Northern 1 // Northern 2 // Eastern 1 // Eastern 2
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alerts:
JTWC (South Indian Ocean): 01 // 02 // 03
JTWC (South Pacific Ocean): 01 // 02 // 03
Archives: BMKG // JTWC
BOM: Western // Northern // Eastern
BOM analysis, including unpublished BOM designations: BUFR // ECMWF validator

Season Summary

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ID Date (ACST) TC Name Original Basin Source
2021-10-28 -- Indian Ocean
2021-11-09 -- Indian Ocean
02U 2021-11-16 Paddy Indian Ocean BOM DB
03U 2021-11-22 -- Indian Ocean TWO
04U 2021-11-29 -- Indian Ocean TWO
05U 2021-11-29 Teratai Indian Ocean TWO & BOM DB
06U 2021-12-08 -- Arafura Sea TWO
07U 2021-12-08 Ruby Coral Sea BOM DB
08U 2021-12-21 Seth Arafura Sea BOM DB
2021-12-26 -- Indian Ocean
10U 2022-01-08 Tiffany Coral Sea BOM DB
11U 2022-01-11 -- Indian Ocean TWO
-- 2022-01-22 *Batsirai Indian Ocean
-- 2022-01-23 -- Indian Ocean
14U 2022-01-29 -- Western Australia
16U 2022-01-31 -- Coral Sea
17U 2022-02-04 -- Indian Ocean TWO
18U 2022-02-05 *Dovi Coral Sea
19U 2022-02-11 *Fezile Indian Ocean TWO
20U 2022-02-16 -- Coral Sea
21U 2022-02-20 -- Coral Sea TWO
22U 2022-02-20 Vernon Indian Ocean
23U 2022-02-21 Anika Indian Ocean BOM DB
24U 2022-02-24 *Eva Coral Sea TWO
25U 2022-02-25 *08/16S SWIO BOM DB
26U 2022-02-27 -- Indian Ocean
27U 2022-03-11 Billy Indian Ocean
28U 2022-03-20 Charlotte Indian Ocean BOM DB
29U 2022-03-31 -- Coral Sea
30U 2022-03-31 -- Indian Ocean BOM DB
31U 2022-04-03 *Fili Coral Sea
32U 2022-04-09 -- Coral Sea
33U 2022-04-17 -- GOC TWO
34U 2022-04-23 -- Indian Ocean TWO
35U
36U 2022-05-05 *Karim Indian Ocean TWO
37U 2022-04-24 *34U Indian Ocean BT Database

Tropical Low 03U (2021)

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in this case we should discuss on talk page if the system form in AUS Basin or the system will enter in AUS Basin to prevent a edit war HurricaneEdgar 09:16, 22 November 2021 (UTC)Reply

HurricaneEdgar, According to the latest tropical cyclone bulletin by the BoM, it says;

A weak tropical low (03U) could enter the far northwest of the region near 10S 93E from late Tuesday or Wednesday. This system is not expected to develop, and is likely to remain in the far northwest of the region until Friday.

Here it says that the weak tropical low is located outside of the region and will enter by Wednesday or Thursday. There's also no source if it's located over the AOR of TCWC Jarkata. If you oppose this, please give a source. Beraniladri19 🌀🌀 09:28, 22 November 2021 (UTC)Reply
There are occasions where the BoM monitors a weak TL while TCWC Jakarta does not mention them. I am aware that TCWC Jakarta tends to mention storms should they have a higher chance to developing into a full-fledged TC. Also, you need to know that the AusR basin can be separated into 3 different regions (Western, Northern and Eastern), and BoM can mention how a TL is "outside of the region" but still within the basin itself. BoM can still mention a tropical system if they are outside the AusR basin (therefore SWio or SPac basins) but would be clear about it mentioning it with its coordinates. 03U in this case is pretty clear with evidence that it is still inside the AusR basin, but not in the Western Region as it does mention its coordinates (10N, 93E - which does state the border of TCWC Jakarta's region) and does simply state the quote "remain in the far northwest of the region". Typhoon2013 (talk) 13:04, 22 November 2021 (UTC)Reply
Typhoon2013, oh btw that TL on November 10 entered the basin, so that doesn't count Beraniladri19 🌀🌀 13:42, 22 November 2021 (UTC)Reply
Beraniladri19 Same thing with the first TL. Outside the Western region, but still inside the basin. "400km NNE of Cocos Island" still supports the statement that it is still inside the AusR basin, but outside the Western region. Typhoon2013 (talk) 23:47, 22 November 2021 (UTC)Reply

Tropical Low 14U question

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Hi. Why do we include systems in this article that were never tropical cyclones, nor in the case of 14U were never even over the ocean? Surely these do not merit inclusion in an article about tropical cyclones, regardless of what the BoM say about them? Buttons0603 (talk) 22:03, 15 February 2022 (UTC)Reply

@Buttons0603: We include land depressions in the North Indian Ocean, same with these. 🐔dat (talk) 11:02, 16 February 2022 (UTC)Reply
@Buttons0603: We have to remember that the term tropical cyclone is a broad one, which includes hurricanes, typhoons, tropical storms, tropical depressions and tropical lows. We also have to remember that we do not pick the systems that are included as a part of the cyclone season but the BoM, Jakarta and the PNG NWS do. As a result, I see no reason why we should drop tropical lows even if they go nowhere near the ocean when we include tropical depressions in the Atlantic.Jason Rees (talk) 12:03, 16 February 2022 (UTC)Reply

Supossed Tropical Low 24U

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I just looked on the MFR and JTWC websites that there is a tropical depression along with Cyclone Vernon in the BOM's area of ​​responsibility.

There is no clarity on which page should add this content.  Is it necessary to monitor this depression too? André L P Souza (talk) 07:42, 26 February 2022 (UTC)Reply
It goes in both since it is in the Ausralian region and being monitored by the BoM in their outlooks as Tropical Low 25U. MFR is monitoring it as well since it is on the border between Aus & SWIO but as of 12z hasnt numbered it. FTR 24U is 09F.Jason Rees (talk) 12:46, 26 February 2022 (UTC)Reply

26/27U?

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So it's looking like BoM has reclassified 27U as 26U per their daily outlook bulletins? The only system (aside from Anika) was a tropical low (27U) that had developed on 27/2 near Christmas Island. The BoM today as of 1/3 had re-identified it as 26U, unless it is a new system? Thoughts? Should we add this as Tropical Low 26U/27U, or separate systems? Typhoon2013 (talk) 10:53, 1 March 2022 (UTC)Reply

what was the Australian cyclone number for the 2 tropical lows RSMC Nadi mention during the weekend of Feb26-27th besides "24U/09F" [Link]. Grifforzer (talk) 03:42, 2 March 2022 (UTC)Reply
As a matter of thought, I have now dubbed the section as Tropical Low 26/27U. The BoM had reclassified the system as 26U by 1/3 and has continued to do so. Typhoon2013 (talk) 08:42, 2 March 2022 (UTC)Reply
@Grifforzer: 09F was 24U while 21U never made it to the SPAC.Jason Rees (talk) 14:06, 2 March 2022 (UTC)Reply

Tiffany page

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Tiffany caused a large amount of damage in Australia. I think it deserves a page so I may start a draft. Here is the draft if you want to improve it: Draft:Cyclone Tiffany — Preceding unsigned comment added by Hurricane Su (talkcontribs) 00:59, 19 March 2022 (UTC)Reply

Cyclone Seth

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According to the Cyclone Seth report by the BOM, 4 deaths occurred with 1 missing, and had a peak intensity of 57 knots and 988.8 mbar. This should be reflected everywhere in the article. There could also be enough information to make an article on Seth, but it's not necessary. RandomInfinity17 (talk) 23:20, 13 October 2022 (UTC)Reply